Kamala is officially in trouble.

She’s my candidate, so this hurts. You know where your candidate is vulnerable and for Kamala, its policy. Sucks, but that’s primary Presidential politics. It’s a blood sport. One job, one person gets the nod. The American Presidency is a lonely walk after a lonely path. Out of all politicians eligible there can be only two, then only one. The criticism of Harris are unfair but they are landing. Warren has occupied all oxygen with her dozens of policy proposals, making her opponents look like they don’t care about policy. In Harris’ case, it’s true. She doesn’t really care about policy. When the truth sticks, it can be fatal for a campaign.

Personally, I don’t care about a President’s proposed policy.* Congress legislates, the President signs off afterward. Nancy Pelosi wrote Obamacare, AOC will write 2.0. A President with strong policy positions will only be an impediment. Warren will want policy to start with her and that’s going to be a problem.

I’m going through the stages of Elizabeth Warren being the candidate. Without doubt, she is the smartest person in any room. Warren is absolutely qualified to BE Presidnet, but I’m terrified that she will not win the Presidency. Harris, Buttigieg, probably Beto and (I’m ashamed to admit, complicated reason) Gillibrand probably all win a landslide. Harris can sell history and she brings a prosecutor’s experience that contrasts perfectly with the chosen one. Chosen One supporters might even find the opportunity to troll to tempting, firing The Chosen One to hire an African American woman. Beto can do hope and change, Buttigieg would be history, and I think Gillbrand can talk to Republican women better than any candidate. I’d be confident if any of them are the nominee.** I face a spring and summer of bleeding ulcers if Warren is the nominee.

To be clear, I think Warren can win. If nominated, she should win. She’d be easily the smartest person ever elected to President. I’m not sure Warren will win. She’s been amazing on the trail, getting better one town hall at a time. If she wins the nomination, it will be because she absolutely worked her ass off and hired the best team. If you do that, that bodes well for your eventual Presidency. The trouble is that Warren, like Biden, has a track record for being undisciplined. She was a liability for the Obama administration, which is part of why she never chaired the CFPB. She made things really hard for the DNC when she said on PBS the 2016 primary was “rigged” when there is absolutely no evidence of that. The recent apology to Native Americans (in the series of her cringe-winge inducing apologies that no one asked for or wants to hear) was the latest example of how tone-deaf her self awareness can be. We don’t need that. I still think that The Chosen One will completely spin off the wheels in the next year and probably any Democrat would win, but I want a layup.

And wouldn’t it be nice if Warren could get interested in being Senate Majority leader? Can we have someone as smart and ruthless as Mitch McConnell for once? How great would it be to have Pelosi, AOC and Warren in the Senate with Harris in the White House? The person without interest in legislation and policy where she belongs, with the others where they can make the most impact.

Sigh. Warren is going to be the nominee and I need to be ready for that.

*Yep. You can probably scroll down a few hundred posts and find me saying exactly the opposite of that. This is going to happen a lot. I think differently about a lot of things now. On this website, it’s year zero and the dude who used to write for the Tumbrel was an idiot.

**Yeah. Didn’t mention Biden. Two reasons: 1. I’m not convinced he can beat The Chosen One. Joe has never ever been a good campaigner. He got famous doing work in the Senate, not running for the office. 2. Like Jeb Bush before him, Joe looks like he is in the race because someone talked him into it. He loses interest in his own answers at the debates. He does not have the requisite burning desire to get the nomination. He will definitely talk us all out of this before too long. He’ll come in third in Iowa then second in NH and drop out after that. This is an incredibly long race for a man who already looks tired.

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